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Priya Reddy
Author

Priya Reddy

Editorial Lead — HOGE Wire daily brief, weekly wraps

HOGE Wire daily brief weekly wraps
28 stories Email

Articles by Priya Reddy

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS·12H AGO

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: A Hawkish Fed Tests the Cycle

A hawkish Fed hold sent 30 year yields to 19 year highs just as Bitcoin entered its weakest month. Here is what…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS·3D AGO

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: The Wallets Behind the Chart

Bitcoin ETFs shed a record $4 billion in a month while on-chain wallets bought hundreds of thousands of coins. Four halving cycles…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS·JUL 27

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: A Positioning Playbook

Bitcoin's fifth halving is fixed for around April 2028, but all four prior cycles saw 53 to 86 percent drawdowns after the…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS·JUL 23

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: The Rival Models, Tested at the Midpoint

Stock-to-flow, the power law, and the global liquidity thesis each named a 2026 Bitcoin price. Here is how those three calls actually…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS·JUL 22

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: Washington’s Second Clock

Bitcoin's halving is fixed in code. A second clock, Washington's CLARITY Act and SEC rulemaking calendar, increasingly moves the same market.

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS·JUL 21

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: What Options Markets Are Pricing In

Historical pattern matching says Bitcoin halvings drive predictable cycles. Options and futures markets, pricing real money on real outcomes, tell a more…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS·JUL 20

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: Four Data Points, One Big Bet

Only four Bitcoin halvings have ever happened. We stress-test the four-year cycle theory against sample size, survivorship bias, and causality.

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS·JUL 19

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: Testing the Pattern Beyond BTC

Bitcoin's halving gets the headlines, but four other coins run the same experiment. Their price histories don't agree with each other, or…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS·JUL 18

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: Grading the Price Predictions

We graded Bitcoin's biggest halving-cycle price predictions, from PlanB to Tom Lee, against what actually happened. Most missed; a few held up.

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS·JUL 17

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: How Halving Day Became a Show

Bitcoin's halving went from an uncovered 2012 code change to a livestreamed, Google Trends record by 2024. Here is how the coverage…