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Category

Category: Predictions & Forecasts

95 stories on this beat
PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS JUL 18

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: Grading the Price Predictions

We graded Bitcoin's biggest halving-cycle price predictions, from PlanB to Tom Lee, against what actually happened. Most missed; a few held up.

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS JUL 17

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: How Halving Day Became a Show

Bitcoin's halving went from an uncovered 2012 code change to a livestreamed, Google Trends record by 2024. Here is how the coverage…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS JUL 15

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: The Great Hashrate Migration

Bitcoin's hashrate keeps shifting across borders as Halving Five nears, from Texas to Xinjiang to the Gulf. Here is what that migration…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS JUL 14

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: What ETF Flows Actually Change

Spot Bitcoin ETFs hold about 6.5% of supply and just posted their longest-ever outflow streak. Here is what that changes about halving…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS JUL 13

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: The Miner Shakeout Before Halving Five

Hashprice sits near a five-year low even as hashrate hits records. Here is what four halvings of miner data reveal about surviving…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS JUL 12

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: The Road to Halving Five

Four completed halvings show a clear pattern of diminishing returns. Here is what the fixed supply schedule and capital flow data say…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS JUL 10

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: What the 2026 Drawdown Actually Proved

Bitcoin's supply schedule hasn't changed, but the 2026 crash from $126,198 to the low $60,000s tested every halving-cycle model at once. Here…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS JUL 9

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: Is the Four-Year Cycle Dead?

Bitcoin's halving schedule is fixed code, but the four-year price cycle built on top of it is genuinely disputed in 2026. Here…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS JUL 4

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: What It Can and Cannot Predict

Bitcoin's supply schedule is fixed by code; the price forecasts built on it are not. Here is the halving cycle math, the…

PREDICTIONS & FORECASTS JUL 3

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Math: Why Each Payoff Keeps Shrinking

Four Bitcoin halvings, four bull markets, and a payoff that shrinks every time. We break down the supply-schedule math and ask whether…

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