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● Regulation & Policy

The SEC dropped its stablecoin appeal. Read between the lines.

The SEC's decision not to appeal SEC v. Paxos Trust Co. ends a four-year jurisdictional fight. What it signals for USDC, the CFTC, and the GENIUS Act perimeter is more interesting than the headline.

On 12 June 2026, the Securities and Exchange Commission filed a one-page notice with the Second Circuit Court of Appeals withdrawing its interlocutory appeal in SEC v. Paxos Trust Company, Docket No. 24-1881. The underlying decision, handed down by Judge Jed S. Rakoff of the Southern District of New York on 4 March 2025, had held that Paxos’s USDP and BUSD stablecoins are not “securities” within the meaning of Section 2(a)(1) of the Securities Act of 1933 because they fail the third prong of the Howey test — there is no reasonable expectation of profits derived from the efforts of others when the asset is contractually pegged at one dollar and pays no yield. The Division of Enforcement had spent fourteen months preparing the appeal. The withdrawal motion, signed by Acting Director of Enforcement Sanjay Wadhwa, gives no reasons. It does not have to.

What is at stake is the entire jurisdictional perimeter of US stablecoin regulation. If the SEC had won on appeal, every issuer in the country — Circle, Paxos, Anchorage, Ripple — would have been forced into the registered investment company regime, a structure the GENIUS Act was explicitly designed to replace. By dropping the appeal, the Commission concedes, by silence rather than by statement, that payment stablecoins sit outside its Title VII jurisdiction and inside the new federal qualified payment stablecoin issuer (FQPSI) framework supervised by the OCC and the state banking regulators. That concession is worth more than any enforcement victory it could have won. It is also a clean break from Chair Gensler’s 2023 position, and it tells you where the Commission’s leadership actually is on digital assets in mid-2026.

What the Rakoff opinion actually held

The 47-page opinion is worth reading in full; it is on CourtListener as ECF No. 89 in the SDNY docket. The court did three things. First, it applied SEC v. W.J. Howey Co., 328 U.S. 293 (1946), and concluded that holders of USDP and BUSD do not have a reasonable expectation of profits — the tokens are pegged, non-yielding, redeemable at par, and explicitly marketed as a medium of exchange rather than as an investment. Second, it distinguished SEC v. Edwards, 540 U.S. 389 (2004), which had extended Howey to fixed-return arrangements, on the ground that a one-dollar redemption right is not a “return” but a return of principal. Third — and this is the part the Division of Enforcement objected to most — Judge Rakoff observed in dicta that even if the secondary-market trading premium on BUSD had at moments deviated upward from $1.00, that deviation was an arbitrage signal, not an investment return, and could not be attributed to “the efforts of others” within the meaning of Howey‘s third prong.

That dicta is what the SEC was hoping to dislodge on appeal. The narrow holding — that USDP and BUSD specifically are not securities — would not have changed the analysis for yield-bearing tokens like the original Anchor protocol UST or the early Maker DSR. The dicta, if affirmed, makes it very hard for the Commission to assert jurisdiction over any pegged token, even one with a more aggressive reserve composition or a marketing posture closer to that of a money market fund. By withdrawing the appeal, the SEC leaves Judge Rakoff’s reasoning intact at the district court level. Other district courts are not bound by it, but they will read it. So will every CASP lawyer drafting a marketing memo for the next twelve months.

Why the timing matters

The withdrawal landed three weeks after the OCC’s final rulemaking on national bank charters for FQPSIs was published in the Federal Register (91 FR 28104, 23 May 2026). The rule operationalises the licensing pathway authorised by Section 4 of the GENIUS Act and gives the OCC primary supervisory authority over any payment stablecoin issuer that elects the federal charter. The first three applications — Circle Internet Financial, Paxos National Trust Company, and Anchorage Digital Bank — have been pending since August 2025. The OCC cannot grant any of them while there is an active SEC enforcement action asserting that the underlying assets are securities. Withdrawing the appeal clears that obstacle. Expect the first FQPSI charter approval before the end of Q3.

There is also a Commission-internal story here. The 3–2 vote to withdraw, reported by SEC public filings on 13 June, followed Chair Atkins and Commissioners Peirce and Uyeda on the majority side, with Commissioners Crenshaw and Lizárraga dissenting. The Crenshaw dissent — six pages, leaked to Bloomberg the same afternoon — argues that the Commission is abandoning a colourable legal position because of “political appetite for de-supervision rather than legal analysis,” and warns that the next stablecoin failure will be ungoverned at the federal level outside the OCC’s narrow prudential remit. She is not wrong that the supervisory architecture is now fragmented. She is wrong that the SEC was the right home for it.

Before and after: what changed in two years

QuestionSEC posture, 2024SEC posture, June 2026
Are payment stablecoins securities?Yes, under Reves and Howey (Wells notice posture)No appellate challenge pursued; district court holding stands
Primary federal supervisorSEC, with potential CFTC overlapOCC (federal charter) or state banking regulator
Reserve composition rulesDe facto via 1940 Act if registered as fundGENIUS Act Section 5: cash, insured deposits, T-bills <93 days, overnight repo
Disclosure regimeS-1 / N-1A registrationMonthly reserve attestation under OCC rule, no registration statement
Holder cap or volume limitNone proposedNone at federal level; state regimes limited to issuers <$10bn outstanding
Enforcement docket4 pending actions (Paxos, BUSD, BinanceUS, TerraUSD)1 remaining (Terra, on appeal at Second Circuit)
SEC’s published positions and enforcement docket. Source: sec.gov, federalregister.gov, occ.gov.

What the CFTC quietly did at the same time

While the SEC was withdrawing its appeal, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission was issuing a no-action letter — CFTC Letter No. 26-08, dated 9 June 2026 — confirming that USDC and USDP can be posted as initial margin for cleared swaps subject to a 4% haircut and a daily mark-to-par confirmation. That is a meaningful endorsement. It treats authorised payment stablecoins as the functional equivalent of a money market fund unit for collateral purposes, which is a category that did not exist in any regulator’s vocabulary three years ago. In practice that means buy-side firms can post stablecoins to clearing brokers without the prior friction of converting to cash, which lowers the operational cost of using these instruments in regulated derivatives markets. It also lines up neatly with the FQPSI charter framework: the OCC supervises the issuer, the CFTC accepts the token as collateral, and the SEC stays out of both conversations.

The jurisdictional carve-up is not formally codified anywhere — the GENIUS Act left the SEC/CFTC border deliberately vague on non-payment crypto assets — but the de facto allocation that is emerging in mid-2026 looks like this: payment stablecoins go to the OCC; commodity-like crypto-assets (BTC, ETH, and probably SOL after the recent CFTC enforcement settlement) go to the CFTC; and the SEC retains its traditional jurisdiction over tokenised securities, RWA fund interests, and any token where the issuer’s promotional materials make explicit profit representations. That is a workable allocation. It is also closer to the European architecture under MiCA Article 2 than the SEC of 2023 would have admitted possible.

What this means for issuers and traders

For issuers, the path is now visible. Circle’s S-1, withdrawn in 2022 and refiled in March 2024, can proceed under the equity-side disclosure regime without dragging the underlying USDC product into a securities-classification fight. Paxos can complete its trust-company-to-national-bank conversion. Tether — which has no US enforcement exposure on this specific question because it has no US corporate presence — gains nothing from the change, and is structurally locked out of the US payment system by Section 7 of the GENIUS Act, which prohibits federally regulated banks from custodying or settling non-FQPSI stablecoins after 31 December 2026.

For traders, the immediate market signal is that the disclosure overhang on US stablecoin issuers is lifting. The implied probability of an SEC enforcement-driven freeze on a major issuer’s redemption mechanism — the tail risk that drove the brief USDC depeg in March 2023, when SVB exposure compounded regulatory uncertainty — has fallen materially. The peg monitor on our tools page still shows the residual basis from operational risk and reserve composition, but the legal-risk component is, for the first time since 2021, approximately zero. That changes the carry calculation for any institutional treasury holding stablecoins as a working balance.

The dog that didn’t bark

The Commission’s withdrawal notice is one page. It does not concede that stablecoins are not securities. It does not endorse the Rakoff reasoning. It does not commit the Commission to any future course of action. It simply says the appeal will not be pursued. In administrative law that is a perfectly defensible posture — agencies can drop appeals for resource reasons, prosecutorial discretion reasons, or because the underlying enforcement priority has shifted. The Commission preserves its theoretical jurisdiction to bring a future enforcement action against a different stablecoin issuer on different facts. It will not.

The reason it will not is that the FQPSI framework is now the answer to the question the SEC was trying to answer through litigation. There is a federal supervisor, there is a reserve rule, there is a disclosure regime, and there is a chartering pathway. Litigation was a method of forcing one into existence in the absence of a statute. The statute exists. The litigation can be allowed to lapse. The interesting question is not whether the SEC was right in 2023 — that question is now genuinely moot — but whether the new architecture survives its first real test. The first FQPSI insolvency, when it comes, will tell us whether the OCC’s prudential rule has the teeth the SEC’s Howey claim never quite did. We keep a running list of regulatory milestones on the events page, and the OCC’s first quarterly FQPSI report is the next entry to watch.

Anneke de Vries is hoge.gg’s Regulation Lead. The full Rakoff opinion in SEC v. Paxos and the SEC’s withdrawal notice are linked from the article above. For the related US legislative history, see the Senate Banking Committee record for S. 1582 (119th Congress) on congress.gov.

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