Editorial Lead — HOGE Wire daily brief, weekly wraps
Four completed halvings show a clear pattern of diminishing returns. Here is what the fixed supply schedule and capital flow data say…
Bitcoin's supply schedule hasn't changed, but the 2026 crash from $126,198 to the low $60,000s tested every halving-cycle model at once. Here…
Bitcoin's halving schedule is fixed code, but the four-year price cycle built on top of it is genuinely disputed in 2026. Here…
Bitcoin's supply schedule is fixed by code; the price forecasts built on it are not. Here is the halving cycle math, the…
Four Bitcoin halvings, four bull markets, and a payoff that shrinks every time. We break down the supply-schedule math and ask whether…
Four halvings have cut Bitcoin's new issuance to about 0.85 percent a year, yet each cycle returns less than the last. We…
Bitcoin's supply schedule is fixed to the satoshi, but the four-year price cycle is not. We break down the halving math, the…
Bitcoin's supply schedule is fixed in code, but the price has stopped obeying it. We run the halving cycle math heading into…
Bitcoin slid under $59,000 in late June 2026, far from the $288,000 the Stock-to-Flow model once implied. We explain why statisticians and…
Bitcoin's price has followed a four-year rhythm since 2012, and the 2025 top landed on schedule. With BTC near $63,000, we run…
